Saturday, March 29, 2008

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Basra Meltdown - Phase 1

by Akiva at Mystical Paths

There's no question we never have the whole story, we can only watch developments and try to figure out what's going on. US Vice President Dick Cheney makes a surprising stopover in Iraq. A few days later, the Iraqi government goes to war against the Shi'ite militias, with the Iraqi president "personally" running the military operation.

Literally a few days later now, we hear "it's not going well", Iraqi army desertion going through the roof, US areas of Baghdad under major bombardment, and the basic power structure agreements that have kept multiple competing powerful forces in balance has just gone down the toilet.

We don't know the drivers behind this. There's speculation US political considerations are driving it, that it has to do with a deal between the US and Iran! (which also involves hanging Israel out to dry), or that it's just local Iraqi political considerations.

However, what we're paying attention to is the situation. If it devolves into a very major battle that draws in American and British troops with tremendous bloodshed, and especially if Iran gets directly involved, then we're living the words of the navi'im. We're waiting for Basra to blow up. Looks like the timer may be ticking.

Update: Momentarily after posting this, the latest Basra headline, "U.S. jets widened the bombing of Basra."

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